A Decision-Making Framework for Assessing New Rate Mechanisms: The Case of US Gas Distributors

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.58567/jea02030003

Keywords:

Multi-criteria decision analysis; traditional ratemaking; new rate mechanisms; public interest; alternative decision strategies

Abstract

To make an assessment of ratemaking proposals, this article proposes that regulators should consider applying a logical decision-making process, such as multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA), that selects or modifies those rate mechanisms that come closest to achieving the public interest, as defined by regulators. MCDA seems like an fitting tool to improve regulatory decisions by making more explicit the relationship between different rate mechanisms and the public interest. This article provides a simplified version of MCDA to demonstrate how regulators can apply this tool to evaluate new rate mechanisms in terms of the public interest. As far as the author knows, the MCDA methodology applied to utility ratemaking has not appeared in the literature. While regulators may not want to or lack the resources to execute all the steps presented in this article, MCDA can provide direction to regulators in evaluating different rate mechanisms and ultimately reaching decisions that are more rational and aligned with the public interest. After all, evaluating rate mechanisms is one of the major functions of utility regulators. Doing it wrongly can have a consequential effect on society’s welfare.

References

Bonbright, James C., et al. (1988). Principles of Public Utility Rates, 2nd Edition, Public Utilities Reports, Inc.; the first edition, authored solely by Bonbright, was published in 1961. https://www.amazon.com/Principles-Public-Utility-Rates-Bonbright/dp/0910325235

Borenstein, Severin and James Bushnell (2015). “The U.S. Electricity Industry after 20 Years of Restructuring.” NBER Working Paper Series, Working Paper 21113, April. https://www.nber.org/papers/w21113

The Brattle Group (2013). Alternative Regulation and Ratemaking Approaches for Water Companies: Supporting the Capital Investment Needs of 21st Century, prepared for the National Association of Water Companies, September 23.https://www.brattle.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/6135_alternative_regulation_and_ratemaking_approaches_for_water_companies_wharton_villadsen_bishop_nawc_sep_23_2013.pdf

Burger, Scott P. et al. (2019). “The Efficiency and Distributional Effects of Alternative Residential Electricity Rate Design.” NBER Working Paper Series, Working Paper 25570, February. https://www.nber.org/papers/w25570

Colman, Andrew M. (2008). A Dictionary of Psychology (Oxford: Oxford University Press). https://www.oxfordreference.com/display/10.1093/acref/9780199534067.001.0001/acref-9780199534067;jsessionid=0776CD0F2E171EA731479913A1CABBE2

Costello, Kenneth W. and Ross C. Hemphill (2022). “It’s High Time to Transition Away from Volumetric Distribution Rates: Why Not a 3-Part Tariff?” The Electricity Journal, Vol. 35, Issue 9 (November): 107205. https://www.sciencedirect.com/journal/the-electricity-journal/vol/35/issue/9

Costello, Ken (2013). “Future Test Years: Challenges Posed for State Utility Commissions.” NRRI 13-08, July. https://pubs.naruc.org/pub/FA86BF62-93FE-6709-21AB-3E836A9FDD28

Costello, Ken (2014). “Alternative Rate Mechanisms and Their Compatibility with State Utility Commission Objectives.” NRRI 14-3, April. https://pubs.naruc.org/pub/FA86C519-AF31-D926-BE12-2AC7AE0CD8D6

Costello, Ken (2009). “How Should Regulators View Cost Trackers?” The Electricity Journal, Vol. 22, Issue 10 (December): 20-33. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S1040619009002711

Costello, Ken (2006). “Revenue Decoupling for Natural Gas Utilities.” NRRI 06-06, April. https://pubs.naruc.org/pub/FA8632C3-D249-F21E-079C-840D9EBA2FBA

Costello, Ken (2004). “An Observation on Real-Time Pricing: Why Practice Lags Theory.” The Electricity Journal, Vol. 17, Issue 1 (January-February): 21-25. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S1040619003001714

Costello, Kenneth W. and Douglas N. Jones (1995). “Lessons Learned in State Electric Utility Regulation,” in Reinventing Electric Utility Regulation, eds. Gregory B. Enholm and J. Robert Malko (Vienna, VA: Public Utilities Report): 69-92. https://www.amazon.com/Reinventing-Electric-Utility-Regulation-Gregory/dp/0910325618

Department for Communities and Local Government: London (2009). Multi-Criteria Analysis: A Manual. January. https://eprints.lse.ac.uk/12761/1/Multi-criteria_Analysis.pdf

Einhorn, Michael (1989-1990). “Incentive Mechanisms for Cost Revelation with Intermodal Competition.” Information, Economics and Policy, Vol. 4, Issue 4: 281-90. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/0167624589900097

Feingold, Russell A. (2016). “Regulatory and Ratemaking Responses to a Changing Gas Utility Industry.” At https://www.senate.mo.gov/18web/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/Mo.-Senate-Committee-Meeting-Presentation-Feingold-Final.pdf

Filipink, Eric (2009). “Serving the ‘Public Interest’ Traditional vs Expansive Utility Regulation.” NRRI 10-02, December. https://pubs.naruc.org/pub/FA864C03-DC7D-B239-9E29-4D68D1807BE4

Grether, David and Louis Wilde (1984). “An Analysis of Conjunctive Choice: Theory and Experiments.” Journal of Consumer Research, Vol. 10, Issue 4 (March): 373-85. https://academic.oup.com/jcr/article-abstract/10/4/373/1822413?redirectedFrom=fulltext

Gunatilake, Herath et al. (2008). “Utility Tariff Setting for Economic Efficiency and Financial Sustainability – A Review.” Paper prepared by the Asian Development Bank, August. https://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/publication/29867/tn-24-utility-tariff-setting.pdf

Hanser, Philip Q (2012). “Rate Design by Objective: A Purposeful Approach to Setting Energy Prices.” Public Utilities Fortnightly, September. https://www.fortnightly.com/fortnightly/2012/09/rate-design-objective

Hempling, Scott (2013). Preside or Lead: The Attributes and Actions of Effective Regulators, 2nd Edition. https://www.amazon.com/Preside-Attributes-Actions-Effective-Regulators/dp/0989327701

Joskow, Paul L. and Richard Schmalensee (1986). "Incentive Regulation for Electric Utilities." Yale Journal on Regulation, Vol. 4, No.1 (Fall): 1-49. https://openyls.law.yale.edu/handle/20.500.13051/8344

Joskow, Paul (1974). “Inflation and Environmental Concern: Structural Changes in the Process of Public Utility Regulation.” Journal of Law and Economics, Vol. 17: 291-327. https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1086/466794

Kahn, Alfred E (1971). Economics of Regulation, Vol. 2 (New York: John Wiley & Sons). https://www.amazon.com/Economics-Regulation-Institutional-Principles-Institutions/dp/B01K2DM5A2

Kahneman, Daniel (2011). Thinking Fast and Slow (New York (New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux). https://www.amazon.com/Thinking-Fast-Slow-Daniel-Kahneman/dp/0374533555

Kahneman, Daniel (2003). “Maps of Bounded Rationality: Psychology for Behavioral Economics.” American Economic Review, Vol. 93, No. 5 (December): 1449-75. https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/000282803322655392

Keeney, Ralph H. and Howard Raiffa (1976). Decisions with Multiple Objectives: Preferences and Value Trade-Offs (New York: Wiley). https://books.google.com/books/about/Decisions_with_Multiple_Objectives.html?id=GPE6ZAqGrnoC

Kihm, Steve, Janice Beecher and Ronald Lehr (2017). Regulatory Incentives and Disincentives for Utility Investments in Grid Modernization. Report prepared for the Lawrence Berkley National Laboratory, May. https://emp.lbl.gov/publications/regulatory-incentives-and

Kind, Peter (2013). “Disruptive Challenges: Financial Implications and Strategic Responses to a Changing Retail Electric Business.” Prepared for the Edison Electric Institute, January. https://www.ourenergypolicy.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/disruptivechallenges-1.pdf

Larkin & Associates, PLLC (2012). “Increasing Use of Surcharges on Consumer Utility Bills.” Prepared for the American Association of Retired Persons, May. https://www.aarp.org/content/dam/aarp/aarp_foundation/2012-06/increasing-use-of-surcharges-on-consumer-utility-bills-a%20arp.pdf%20(2012).

Lazar, Jim and Wilson Gonzalez (2015). Smart Rate Design for a Smart Future, Appendix D. Report by RAP, July 15. http://www.raponline.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/05/rap-lazar-gonzalez-smart-rate-design-july2015.pdf

Lindblom, Charles E. (1979). “Still Muddling, Not Yet Through.” Public Administration Review, Vol. 39, No. 6 (November-December): 517-26. https://www.jstor.org/stable/976178

Loken, Espen (2007). “Use of Multicriteria Decision Analysis Methods for Energy Planning Problems.” Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Vol. 11, Issue 7 (September): 1584-95. https://econpapers.repec.org/article/eeerensus/v_3a11_3ay_3a2007_3ai_3a7_3ap_3a1584-1595.htm

McDermott, Karl (2012). Cost of Service Regulation in the Investor-Owned Electric Utility Industry: A History of Adaptation (Washington D.C.: Edison Electric Institute, June). https://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download;jsessionid=916E3E00CA202E964CE6E694997549A6?doi=10.1.1.476.2757&rep=rep1&type=pdf

Morgan, Pamela (2013). “A Decade of Decoupling for U.S. Energy Utilities: Rate Impacts, Designs, and Observations.” Revised report prepared for Regulatory Assistance Project, February. https://www.edockets.state.mn.us/EFiling/edockets/searchDocuments.do?method=showPoup&documentId=%7BABC6ACFD-919F-4C64-AA76-9891F24445DD%7D&documentTitle=253771

Mullet, Etlenne (1992). “A Model of Selection by Aspects.” Acta Psychologica, Vol. 78 (February): 1-19. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/223166136_A_model_of_selection_by_aspects

Pacific Economics Group Research (2013). Alternative Regulation for Evolving Utility Challenges: An Updated Survey. Prepared for the Edison Electric Institute, January. https://www.efis.psc.mo.gov/mpsc/commoncomponents/viewdocument.asp?DocId=935954483

Peltzman, Sam (1976). “Toward a More General Theory of Regulation.” Journal of Law and Economics, Vol. 19 (August). https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1086/466865

Philips, Charles (1988). The Regulation of Public Utilities: Theory and Practice (Arlington, VA: Public Utilities Reports). https://books.google.com/books/about/The_Regulation_of_Public_Utilities.html?id=AeORAAAAIAAJ

Pint, Ellen M. (1992) “Price-Cap versus Rate-of-Return Regulation in a Stochastic-Cost Model.” RAND Journal of Economics, Vol. 23, No. 4 (Winter): 564-578. https://www.jstor.org/stable/2555906

Posner, Richard A. (1969). “Natural Monopoly and Its Regulation." Stanford Law Review, Vol. 21 (1969): 548-643. https://chicagounbound.uchicago.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?referer=&httpsredir=1&article=2861&context=journal_articles

Reber, Tim et al. (2018). “Tariff Considerations for Micro-Grids in Sub-Saharan Africa.” Paper prepared for USAID and Power Africa, February. https://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy18osti/69044.pdf

Rossi, Jim (2009). “The Political Economy of Energy and Its Implications for Climate Change Legislation.” Tulane Law Review, Vol. 84, No. 2: 379-428. https://scholarship.law.vanderbilt.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1624&context=faculty-publications

Sahabuddin, Md. and Imran Khan (2021). “Multicriteria Decision Analysis Methods for Energy Sector’s Sustainability Assessment: Robustness Analysis Through Criteria Weight Change.” Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments, Vol. 47, October: 101380. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S2213138821003908

Schittekatte, Tim et al. (2023). “Economy-Wide Decarbonization Requires Fixing Retail Electricity Rates.” CEEPR RC 2023-001, January. https://economics.mit.edu/sites/default/files/2023-01/Research%20Commentary%20MIT-CEEPR-RC-2023-01_0.pdf

Simon, Herbert A. (1955). “A Behavioral Model of Rational Choice.” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 69, No.1 (February): 99-118. https://www.jstor.org/stable/1884852

Stewart, T.J. (1992) “A Critical Survey on the Status of Multiple Criteria Decision-Making Theory and Practice.” OMEGA, Vol. 2, Nos. 5-6: 569-86. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/030504839290003P

Thaler, Richard H. (2015). Misbehaving: The Making of Behavioral Economics (New York: W.W. Norton & Company). https://www.amazon.com/Misbehaving-Behavioral-Economics-Richard-Thaler/dp/039335279X

Trabish, Herman K. (2022). “2022 Outlook: A New Recognition Is Coming of Rate Design’s Critical Role in the Energy Transition.” Utility Dive, January 19. https://www.utilitydive.com/news/2022-outlook-a-new-recognition-is-coming-of-rate-designs-critical-role-in/611756/

Wang, Jiang-Jiang et al (2009). “Review on Multicriteria Decision Analysis Aid in Sustainable Energy Decision-Making.” Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Vol.13, Issue 9 (December): 2263-78. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S1364032109001166

Zaki, Dina A and Mohamed Hamdy (2022). “A Review of Electricity Tariffs and Enabling Solutions for Optimal Energy Management.” Energies,15, 8527. https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/22/8527

Downloads

Published

2023-05-12

How to Cite

Costello, K. W. (2023). A Decision-Making Framework for Assessing New Rate Mechanisms: The Case of US Gas Distributors. Journal of Economic Analysis, 2(3), 43–65. https://doi.org/10.58567/jea02030003

Issue

Section

Article